Last year, ScoresAndOdds’ ParlayIQ tool helped create a variety of fun same-game parlay tickets throughout the NFL season. Through thousands of simulations, the tool examines the potential value various betting lines offer on sports betting apps. Along with the simulations, we will examine stats, roster news, trends, player props, and betting odds across sports betting sites to find the best price for our same-game parlay ticket. For this article, we build a same-game parlay for the Buffalo Bills versus the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday Night Football.
In what could rival the Dolphins and Chiefs playing on Sunday morning as the game of the week, the Bengals will host the Bills for Sunday Night Football. The Bengals continue to warm up — winning three consecutive games and looking more like the contender pundits projected. The Bills found a much-needed win against the Patriots last week after a couple of shaky weeks on the field. FanDuel Sportsbook projects this to be a high-scoring affair. Let’s see what type of same-game parlay ticket we can create with the help of ParlayIQ for Sunday Night Football.
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Bills vs. Bengals Same Game Parlay
The Bengals are 2.5-point home favorites in a huge AFC matchup. Per SAO, most of the betting action sits with Cincinnati — 67% of bets and 71% of money found the Bengals throughout the week. The implied game total sits at 50.5 points at the time of publishing this article, with 89% of money bet on the over throughout the week.
For injuries, will play on Sunday night in the pivotal contest. The Bills placed last year’s first-round pick, Kaiir Elam on the IR to further add to a long list of Buffalo injuries. Linval Joseph was signed to a one-year contract to help in the middle of the defense while Josh Norman was elevated from the practice squad. The Bills also completed a trade for Rasul Douglas with Green Bay at the deadline while also signing Leonard Fournette to the practice squad.
For the Bengals, will play and will likely receive plenty of action in a high-total game. Trey Hendrickson is questionable after missing practice on Wednesday while safety Tycen Anderson was placed on the IR.
Most of the key pieces for each team seem ready to go. Aside from the big injuries over the last month for the Bills, both teams should be at whatever their recent version of full strength is for a big game.
The Bills’ offense struggled for a few weeks but remains one of the most elite offenses in the AFC. Let’s take a look at both teams’ offensive ranks leading into tonight’s game.
Buffalo Offense
4th — 27.8 PPG
3rd — 5.9 yards per play
7th — 7.6 pass yards per attempt
14th — 4.3 rush yards per attempt
Cincinnati Offense
23rd — 18.7 PPG (27.3 last three weeks)
30th — 4.5 yards per play (5.1 last three weeks)
32nd — 5.7 pass yards per attempt (6.9 last three weeks)
24th — 3.7 rush yards per attempt
For defense, both teams rank in the top ten in the league in sack rate but bottom half in yards per pass attempt on defense. Despite that issue, the Bills remain in the top five in scoring defense. While the Bengals continue to rebound, the defense has not played nearly as well as Buffalo. The offense, powered by Ja’Marr Chase, continues to mitigate this issue over the last few weeks.
The betting market seems to think we are going to see some points on Sunday Night. What does ParlayIQ say?
Same Game Parlay Picks for SNF
- Chase Over 84.5 Receiving Yards
- Kincaid Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
- Allen Over 271.5 Passing Yards
- Over 50.5 Points
Ja’Marr Chase Over 84.5 Receiving Yards
Potentially the biggest offensive star in the game, Ja’Marr Chase has been white hot as of late for the Bengals. The main focal point of the offense has delivered in a big way during the three-game winning streak.
Chase has 19, 13, and 12 targets over his last three games. has looked his way often. Even against a better Bills’ defense, Chase should feast against a far weaker secondary. ParlayIQ rates this receiving over very high per the thousands of simulations. I agree, and we open with the star receiver.
Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
If the Bengals can move the ball as a favorite, we should correlate with someone from Buffalo coming back. performed well in his first couple of games as the featured tight end and should find even more room this evening.
ParlayIQ finds this receiving over in north of 60% of simulations that included Chase. Kincaid will get targets but is also great with the ball in his hands, able to find chunk yardage. Let’s add him as our second leg and maybe we are heading toward a high-scoring game script for our ticket.
Over 271.5 Passing Yards
Well, let’s just open the lid completely. If we are going to shoot out, ParlayIQ points us in the direction of having a big day.
In over 55% of simulations including our other two legs, ParlayIQ expects to approach 300 passing yards tonight in a game that has the potential to go back and forth. Allen continues to be one of the league’s elite. I expect him to have a huge game in a big primetime spot.
Normally, we roll with three legs. However, based on the props that we have selected so far, I think a fourth makes sense.
Over 50.5 Points
Let’s just go all in. If all of these statistical overs are going to hit, the teams are likely to score plenty of points. The Bills and Bengals are ranked in the top ten in red zone touchdown scoring percentage. Despite some recent woes for the Bills, both quarterbacks lead offenses that can convert when it matters.
ParlayIQ obviously likes this leg given our other three. Let’s hope for a Sunday night shootout.
Bills vs. Bengals Parlay Odds
- Ja’Marr Chase Over 84.5 Receiving Yards
- Over 40.5 Receiving Yards
- Over 271.5 Passing Yards
- Over 50.5 Points
ParlayIQ projects the following price for tonight’s ticket:
FanDuel Sportsbook offers the following odds:
Parlay Odds: +588
Risk: 1/2 unit to win 2.94 units
Good luck with all of your wagers for this game. Share your parlays with me on X.
Image Credit: Getty Images
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